The Public Ledger

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Why the rating is what it is

Sovereign credit ratings are opinions from private agencies: commercial judgment, not official Maldivian government data, but they're not arbitrary either. This puts today's ratings next to the actual indicators most commonly cited to justify them.

Current ratings

AgencyRatingOutlookActionDate
Fitch Ratings CCC- Upgraded from CC 2026-06-03
Moody's Ratings Caa2 Stable Affirmed; outlook revised from negative 2025-11

Source: manually-maintained record of published rating actions. See the Debt & reserves page for each agency's full note and source link.

The numbers behind it

MetricValueYearWhy it matters
Public debt, % of GDP 145.1%
MVR 154.99 bn
2025 Higher = more of the economy owed as debt
Deficit, % of GDP -17.5%
MVR -18.67 bn
2025 Negative = spending more than it collects
Interest, % of revenue 13.8%
MVR 5.56 bn
2026 Share of revenue consumed just servicing past debt
External debt service, % of exports 5.5%
USD 342 m paid (debt service, not the debt stock)
2025 IMF-style metric for external repayment strain

Each metric uses the most recent year actually published for it, so they don't all line up to the same year. See Budget in context and Debt outlook for the full multi-year series behind each one.